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Machine Learning

22 articles

Lead figure for The Sound of a Hit

The Sound of a Hit

What a popular song actually sounds like, according to 28,000 of them

Lead figure for Which Models Make Things Up

Which Models Make Things Up

Which AI models make things up the most

On disabling ML in production

What I learned when my live trading system's ML ensemble silently degraded in production, and the disciplined reintroduction of machine learning that came after.

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Brain Signal Redundancy

62 signals, 21 real dimensions: redundancy that does not look like redundancy

Lead figure for Diagnosing on Three Features

Diagnosing on Three Features

Three of thirty features get you within 0.02 AUC of the full model

Lead figure for The Cancer Decision Threshold

The Cancer Decision Threshold

The default threshold misses four malignant tumors. I would rather flag thirteen extra benign ones.

Lead figure for Pricing Diamonds

Pricing Diamonds

A gradient booster prices diamonds to $276. Then it meets a big one.

Lead figure for Recognizing Digits

Recognizing Digits

Twenty numbers per digit gets you 94% of the way there

Lead figure for The Pixels That Matter

The Pixels That Matter

Twelve of the 64 pixels are dead, and the classifier never misses them

Lead figure for Forecasting Air Travel

Forecasting Air Travel

Holt-Winters beat a one-line forecast by 4.6 points, and the one-liner still taught more

Lead figure for Decomposing Air Travel

Decomposing Air Travel

The summer bump grew from 44 to 232 thousand passengers, and most of that is scale

Lead figure for Old Faithful's Two Modes

Old Faithful's Two Modes

Old Faithful is two geysers wearing a trench coat

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The GLUE Leaderboard

The 0.7 points that decide a leaderboard, and where they come from

Lead figure for GLUE and the Transformer Leap

GLUE and the Transformer Leap

22.67 points: what the field bought by dropping the recurrence

Lead figure for Clustering Penguins

Clustering Penguins

Two penguin measurements beat four

Lead figure for Penguin Dimorphism

Penguin Dimorphism

A female Gentoo outweighs a male Adelie by 636 grams

Lead figure for Predicting Titanic Survival

Predicting Titanic Survival

The random forest lost. By 0.002 AUC.

Lead figure for Classifying Wine

Classifying Wine

Three lab readings beat your fancy model

Lead figure for What Makes Wine Good

What Makes Wine Good

Wine quality is mostly just alcohol, and even that only gets you so far

Atlas in production: putting a forecasting system in front of real capital

How the Atlas forecasting system handles 542,000 rows/second of market data with sub-second regime detection — async service architecture, dependency-ordered startup, and 10Hz health monitoring.

Deploying ML in production: a working reference (Part 1)

Serving architectures, containerization, lifecycle management, performance optimization, drift detection, and monitoring — with benchmarks and code from production systems.

ML deployment: a working reference for getting models into production

A field-tested reference for taking ML models from prototype to production — serving patterns, containerization, monitoring, drift detection, and the operational practices that make the difference.